Back to all postsPakistan's BRICS ambitions could reshape crypto markets and global finance, facing India's opposition and regulatory challenges.
October 7, 2024

Pakistan's BRICS Bid: Crypto and Geopolitics

Pakistan is looking to get into BRICS? That’s a big move. The group, which currently consists of Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa, was formed to create a counterbalance to the West. With Russia backing Pakistan’s application, it seems like they’re trying to build a bigger club. But let’s be real; this is going to cause some headaches for India.

The BRICS Pay Game

One interesting thing coming out of BRICS is this proposed “BRICS Pay” system. It’s basically an attempt to create a payment network that doesn’t rely on Western financial systems. If they pull it off, it could save everyone a ton on transaction fees. But here’s where it gets spicy: it might also push more countries towards using cryptocurrencies and even Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs).

Think about it—if all these countries start doing transactions outside the US dollar framework, crypto adoption could skyrocket! And with Pakistan in the mix (assuming they get in), we might see even more liquidity flowing into the crypto markets.

The India Factor

Let’s not kid ourselves; India is not going to be happy about this. There are so many layers of tension between India and Pakistan that go back decades. Border disputes? Check. Accusations of terrorism? Double check. And now there’s the added complexity of China possibly gaining more influence in BRICS at India’s expense.

India has already voiced its opposition to Pakistan's membership. Since BRICS operates on consensus—meaning every current member must agree on new members—India's objection could very well put a stop to that application right there.

Economic Prospects for Pakistan

If by some miracle consensus is reached and Pakistan gets in, there are some serious economic upsides for Islamabad. Accessing things like the New Development Bank could provide an alternative lifeline compared to the usual suspects (looking at you IMF). These new financial institutions might even be more lenient with their terms.

But let's be real: with its current economic woes and dependency on Western systems, would BRICS really want another member that's kind of shaky? Plus, navigating relationships will be tricky for Pakistan; balancing ties with traditional allies like the US while cozying up to an anti-West bloc is no small feat.

Challenges Ahead

Then there's the whole issue of actually making these new payment systems work. You think getting consensus on membership was tough? Just wait until they try to hash out regulatory frameworks across such diverse jurisdictions!

And don’t forget—BRICS isn’t just one homogenous entity; it includes countries with vastly different political systems and economic models. Throwing Middle Eastern oil producers into the mix adds yet another layer of complexity.

Summary: A New Financial Order?

So what does all this mean? If things go as planned (and that’s a big if), we might see increased use of alternative financial systems that sidestep traditional Western ones—and cryptocurrencies might just ride that wave into mainstream acceptance.

As we gear up for the upcoming summit in Kazan hosted by Russia (where Putin will probably give his best poker face), one thing is clear: whether or not Pakistan gets into BRICS may just be the beginning of a much larger conversation about global financial structures.

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